Stimulus Update: 5 Potential Outcomes

 Will there be a stimulus deal?



Here’s what you need to know—and what it could mean for your wallet.

New Stimulus

There’s no clear sign that Congress will reach a stimulus deal before the November 3 election. As Americans await second stimulus checks and federal unemployment benefits, here are 5 potential outcomes of what could happen next:

Option 1: Congress could reach a stimulus deal before the election

Congress could reach a stimulus deal before the election, although there doesn’t seem to be a clear path currently.

Option 2: Congress agrees on a stimulus deal, but president doesn’t sign bill

Congress could agree on a stimulus deal, but the president must sign the legislation before it becomes law. One possible scenario—if and when Congress reaches a deal—is that the president decides not to sign the bill before the election, or at all. This scenario is probably low likelihood, since the president supports a new stimulus deal as well as second stimulus checks. 

Option 3: The Senate and House each pass smaller stimulus deals

The Senate and House could seek to gain political favor by passing smaller stimulus deals before the election. This move could be largely symbolic if there is no bipartisan support. 

Option 4: The president takes executive action

Typically, Congress has the power of the purse in Washington, which allows Congress to authorize federal spending. That said, there are certain powers apportioned to the executive branch, which allows the president to act through executive order. President Donald Trump has been active through executive memoranda and executive orders to shape policy. 

Option 5: Congress doesn’t pass a stimulus deal

Not everyone in Congress supports a new stimulus deal. There are fiscal conservatives who say that Congress already has spent trillions of dollars in taxpayer money on financial stimuli. They either oppose new stimulus spending, or would limit spending to certain areas such as small business aid or school funding

 

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