Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD bulls await a clear break of $1,939– Confluence Detector
Although US stimulus deadlock is still far from breaking, gold prices stay above $1,900, currently down 0.07% to $1,929, while heading into the European open on Monday.
With the US Treasuries off from trading,
due to the Columbus Day holiday, commodities couldn’t react to the weekend
challenges to American President Donald Trump’s coronavirus (COVID-19) aid
package. Although the Republican leaders’ readiness to offer $1.8 trillion
propelled markets on Friday, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s rejection suggests no
more money is going to flow through the Congress before the US presidential
election.
Even so, the risk-on sentiment gains mildly
optimism from Asia as the Chinese central bank reused FX trading routes to ease
the strong domestic currency. Also favoring the market mood could be
Australia’s easing of travel restrictions.
On the contrary, Brexit and COVID-19 woes
in Europe raise bars for the risk-takers, which in turn challenge the gold
prices’ further upside.
Key levels to watch
The previous highs on the hourly (H1),
four-hour (4H) and 1-day (D1) chart highlight $1,931 as the immediate upside
barrier holding the keys for the metal’s run-up towards $1,939 resistance
including 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the monthly move.
It’s worth mentioning that the 50-day SMA
on the daily chart, around $1,940, adds to the upside barriers for the yellow
metal bulls ahead of propelling gold buyers towards the mid-September tops near
$1,973.
Meanwhile, the previous low on the 4H and
23.6% Fibonacci retracement of D1 near $1,922 can entertain sellers if the
adjacent rest-point close to $1,928 breaks, comprising the middle Bollinger and
SMA 50 on the 15-minutes chart.
In a case where the bears dominate
past-$1,922, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of weekly moves and SMA 10 on 4H
will challenge the further downside around $1,918 and $1,916.50.
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