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At Today’s Oil Prices, Exxon’s Money Machine Is Broken

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Exxon’s money machine is broken. At least at these oil prices. The oil giant posted a loss of $680 million today, its second quarterly loss in a row, following a $1 billion hit in the second quarter. Exxon received an average $37 per barrel for its U.S. crude oil in the third quarter, a big improvement on its average $21/bbl in the second quarter — but not enough.   CEO Darren Woods in a prepared statement said the company was taking bold measures to navigate the “unprecedented down cycle.” Those moves include broad layoffs that will hit some 14,000 positions out of 74,000 nationwide, including 1,900 cuts to come in the U.S., mostly at its campus in The Woodlands, north of Houston. Already last month Exxon suspended employee retirement plan matching.   During the last oil downturn of 2016, the company chose to maintain a high level of investment — confident that as the cycle turned up its steadfastness would be rewarded. Not this time. Exxon during 2020 has slashed its...

Zoom Is Now Worth More Than ExxonMobil—And Founder Eric Yuan’s Net Worth Has Nearly Doubled In Three Months

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High-flying video conferencing service Zoom, which has seen skyrocketing demand during the coronavirus pandemic, is now worth more than ExxonMobil, one of the world’s largest oil and gas companies. As of 2:30 p.m. ET, Zoom sported a market valuation of $139 billion, compared to Exxon’s $138.9 billion. Zoom began the year with a market cap of $19 billion. While Zoom posted $1.35 billion in revenue over the past 12 months, Exxon, by comparison, posted $213.8 billion in revenue during that time period.   Exxon announced on Thursday that it would lay off 1,900 U.S. employees, the latest effort to reduce costs and improve efficiency during the pandemic. Exxon has seen its operations pressured by coronavirus like other energy companies, many of which have taken steps to improve balance sheets, reduce staff and in some cases suspend dividends. West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. oil benchmark, currently trades at around $36 per barrel, down from over $62 as recently as January. ...

Big Tech Could Be In Big Trouble Next Year Under Biden—Even As Amazon, Apple, Facebook Prepare For Another Monster Quarter

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A slew of big tech companies–including FAANG firms Facebook, Amazon, Alphabet and Apple–are set to report earnings Thursday after the market closes, shining a light on a sector that's been outperforming during the pandemic and during pre-election uncertainty. But the party for tech stocks could soon fizzle if Democrats sweep next week’s election. Wall Street firms are expecting some of tech’s biggest names to beat bullish third quarter expectations, and Goldman Sachs says Alphabet and Amazon could continue to lead strong stock market gains in 2021; their shares have surged 16% and 71% this year, compared to a 5% gain for the S&P 500, but trouble could be on the way for tech giants.   These third-quarter earnings reports "will underscore the positive digital transformation tailwinds in the internet sector, and we have highest confidence in the media sector (Google and Facebook) for potential upside in the second half,” Bank of America analyst Justin Post said in a w...

EUR/USD rises from 1.18 as markets are stabilizing

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EUR/USD is trading above 1.18, recovering from Monday's fall-related to rising coronavirus cases, fading chances for US stimulus, and election uncertainty, one week to go. US data is eyed.   EUR/USD supported above 1.1800 amid US dollar pullback. 10-year Treasury yields drop below the key 0.80% level. Coronavirus updates in Europe to cap the euro’s bounce. US Durable Goods and Consumer Confidence next of note. EUR/USD trades well bid above 1.1800, extending its renewed upside ahead of the European open, as the US dollar retreats across the board despite the downbeat market mood.   The main currency pair benefits, as the haven demand for the greenback, is on the back foot so far this Tuesday, even though Asian equities flash red.   The US dollar reverses a part of Monday’s surge, mainly dragged down by the weakness in the Treasury yields, especially after the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield dropped below the key 0.80% level.   The overall mark...

PayPal Just Gave 346 Million People A New Way To Buy Bitcoin—But There’s A Nasty Catch

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The bitcoin and cryptocurrency community has been set alight by news payments giant PayPal PYPL -4.3% will allow its 346 million users buy and spend bitcoin and a handful of other major cryptocurrencies.   The announcement, coming from a traditional financial industry giant and perceived enemy of bitcoin, has been taken as vindication for long-time bitcoin believers.   However, celebrations were somewhat stifled by small print that revealed PayPal wouldn't let users transfer their cryptocurrency into or out of PayPal—nor would users have control of the private keys, a long string of numbers and letters that allow holders to move their digital assets.   "Currently, you can only hold the cryptocurrencies you buy on PayPal in your account," the company wrote in materials outlining its bitcoin and crypto plans. "Additionally, the crypto in your account cannot be transferred to other accounts on or off PayPal."   PayPal didn't respond to an enquir...

Weird Market Dynamics: 3 Reasons Ethereum Is Dropping While Bitcoin Rallies

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The price of Bitcoin (BTC) has been rallying strongly while Ethereum (ETH) and other large-cap alternative cryptocurrencies (altcoins) have slumped. In previous bull cycles, ETH front ran BTC, not the other way around.   The current market dynamics are uncanny because Bitcoin has been solely increasing in price, while the cryptocurrency market stagnates. In fact, major altcoins, including Ethereum, have been dropping in value against both BTC and the U.S. dollar in the past nine days.   Three factors are likely causing the underperformance of Ethereum and altcoins against Bitcoin. First, profits are seemingly cycling back into BTC. Second, the technical momentum of BTC remains strong. Third, BTC’s volume share is rising against other cryptocurrencies.   Three factors are likely causing the underperformance of Ethereum and altcoins against Bitcoin. First, profits are seemingly cycling back into BTC. Second, the technical momentum of BTC remains strong. Third, B...

GBP/USD defending 1.2900 amid Brexit brinkmanship

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GBP/USD trims early-day gains, eases from 1.2945, while staying positive for the second consecutive day. Moody’s downgraded UK on Friday over virus woes, Brexit worries and budget problems for Tories, BOE’s Bailey also spoke bearish. EU’s Brexit negotiator Michael Barnier is up for visiting London, UK’s Gove earlier warned “the door is ajar”. US dollar regains even as risk tone cheers Trump’s push for stimulus, virus vaccine. Having recently stepped back from the intraday high of 1.2945, GBP/USD wobbles around 1.2925/30 while heading into Monday’s London open. Sterling buyers paid a little heed to the Brexit, coronavirus (COVID-19) woes at home while cheering risk-on mood off-late. However, fears of a no-deal divorce between the UK and the European Union (EU) join the BOE Governor Andrew Bailey’s downbeat comments to probe the bulls. Also challenging the sentiment is the scheduled visit of the EU’s chief Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier to England.   Will Barnier’s arri...

McConnell Won’t Support $1.8 Trillion White House Stimulus Bill—Even If Pelosi And Trump Make A Deal

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With negotiations for a pre-election federal stimulus bill coming down to the wire, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) threw a wrench in the works on Thursday, saying that the $1.8 trillion plan recently proposed by the White House as a compromise with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) and top Democrats is “a much larger amount than I can sell to my members.” With Pelosi and the White House still trying to find common ground between the $1.8 trillion plan and Democrats’ $2.2 trillion plan, McConnell added that he would not put a bill that large on the Senate floor for a vote.  Without support from McConnell and at least some of his Republican caucus, no deal that the White House makes with Pelosi stands any reasonable chance of becoming law.  According to Pelosi spokes Drew Hammill, Mnuchin told Pelosi Thursday afternoon that Trump would “weigh in” with McConnell about bringing a comprehensive bill to the Senate floor for a vote if Pelosi and the White House ar...

Pelosi Says Democrats Still Won’t Accept $1.8 Trillion White House Stimulus Offer

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In a contentious interview with CNN’s Wolf Blitzer, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) reiterated that she is not prepared to accept the White House’s $1.8 trillion proposal for the next round of federal coronavirus aid legislation. Asked by Blitzer about a recent tweet from fellow liberal Rep. Ro Khanna (D-Calif.) suggesting that Democrats should accept the Trump administration’s offer in order to force Senate Republicans into accepting a plan more expensive than the one they want, Pelosi said, “that isn’t what we’re going to do.”   Khanna has taken the position that if the White House can meet the Democratic ask for Covid-19 testing and tracing funding along with adequate legislative language to create a testing plan, Democrats should accept a $1.8 trillion package.   On CNN Tuesday evening, Pelosi said Khanna is “not negotiating this situation,” adding that the majority of her caucus wants to hold out for a larger bill.   She has repeatedly said the Wh...

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD bulls await a clear break of $1,939– Confluence Detector

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Although US stimulus deadlock is still far from breaking, gold prices stay above $1,900, currently down 0.07% to $1,929, while heading into the European open on Monday.   With the US Treasuries off from trading, due to the Columbus Day holiday, commodities couldn’t react to the weekend challenges to American President Donald Trump’s coronavirus (COVID-19) aid package. Although the Republican leaders’ readiness to offer $1.8 trillion propelled markets on Friday, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s rejection suggests no more money is going to flow through the Congress before the US presidential election.   Even so, the risk-on sentiment gains mildly optimism from Asia as the Chinese central bank reused FX trading routes to ease the strong domestic currency. Also favoring the market mood could be Australia’s easing of travel restrictions.   On the contrary, Brexit and COVID-19 woes in Europe raise bars for the risk-takers, which in turn challenge the gold prices’ furthe...

Expert Take: Square Buys $50 Million Worth Of Bitcoin

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Earlier today, payments company Square SQ +1.8% announced that it had purchased $50 million worth of bitcoin, a development that generated significant visibility.   Square, which was cofounded by Twitter TWTR +0.3% CEO Jack Dorsey, bought more than 4,700 units of the digital currency, enough to account for roughly 1% of the organization’s assets as of the end of this year’s second quarter.   Square revealed this transaction shortly after business intelligence firm MicroStrategy MSTR +7.1% purchased more than $400 million worth of bitcoin over the last few months.   MicroStrategy revealed in August that it had acquired $250 million worth of the cryptocurrency, and announced an additional $175 million investment in September.   Several experts commented on the recent purchase made by Square, weighing in on its implications.   Tim Enneking, managing director of Digital Capital Management, described this latest news as “a tremendous endorsement” ...

Pelosi Says Stimulus Talks Are Moving ‘Very Slowly’

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House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin are continuing to hash out the terms of the next federal coronavirus aid bill this week, but progress is slow. Pelosi and Mnuchin spoke over the phone on Monday for an hour to “discuss the justifications for various numbers” in the new bill, according to Pelosi spokesperson Drew Hammill.   In a call with House Democrats Monday evening, Pelosi said talks with Mnuchin are progressing “very slowly,” Politico reported.   Hammill said the two top negotiators, who suddenly resumed urgent conversations last week after negotiations fell apart in August, plan to speak again Tuesday.   Federal supplemental unemployment benefits remain a major point of contention between Democrats and the White House and GOP.   The clock is ticking for Congress to pass an aid bill before November, with just 28 days before the election and any Senate votes delayed until at least October 19 because of ...

Tesla, Netflix Slammed As Stocks Fall On Weak Jobs Data, Trump Covid Case

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The announcement that President Donald Trump tested positive for coronavirus triggered a sell-off in early morning trading around the world on Friday that tapered off by day’s end. Tech stocks, however, failed to recover, as Wall Street investors prepare for increased volatility in the weeks leading up to the election.   The tech-heavy Nasdaq ended the day down 251 points, or 2.2%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 134 points, or 0.5%, and the S&P 500 fell 1%.   Tech stocks were among Friday’s biggest losers, with Tesla and Netflix falling 7% and 5%, respectively, while Apple and Microsoft were each down 3%.   Cboe's VIX Index, which measures volatility expectations based on options contracts, at one point jumped up more than 7%, reaching its highest point since early September, when tech stocks corrected and the Nasdaq had its fastest 10% plunge in history.   U.S. airline stocks proved a bright spot in the Friday market after House Spea...

Trump Versus Biden: Who Is Better For The U.S. Stock Market?

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  It seems everyone is speculating on which will be better for the U.S. stock market: a re-election of President Donald Trump or an election of former Vice President Joe Biden to the Presidency. While opinions can be heated and often driven by one’s political predilections, in reality, the outcome of the election may not matter all that much to the markets. Both candidates have presented their economic visions for the future, and both have received positive reviews on their plans. For those willing to hear a few positive things about the ‘other’ candidate, here are a few points on why each candidate can potentially help the stock market move higher in 2021 and beyond: Donald Trump can be viewed as more favorable because: The Tax Cut and Jobs Act of 2017    will remain intact under Trump.  The Act lowered corporate income taxes to a maximum of 21%, making U.S. corporations more competitive on the global stage. The Act also allowed more certainty for planning and capit...

Stimulus Update: 5 Potential Outcomes

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  Will there be a stimulus deal? Here’s what you need to know—and  what it could mean for your wallet . New Stimulus There’s no clear sign that Congress will reach a stimulus deal before the November 3 election. As Americans await  second stimulus checks  and federal unemployment benefits, here are 5 potential outcomes of what could happen next: Option 1: Congress could reach a stimulus deal before the election Congress could reach a stimulus deal before the election, although there doesn’t seem to be a clear path currently. Option 2: Congress agrees on a stimulus deal, but president doesn’t sign bill Congress could agree on a stimulus deal, but the president must sign the legislation before it becomes law. One possible scenario—if and when Congress reaches a deal—is that the president decides not to sign the bill before the election, or at all. This scenario is probably low likelihood, since the president supports a new stimulus deal as well as second ...

Oil heading for weekly decline as coronavirus demand concerns mount

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Oil prices slipped on Friday and were set for a weekly decline due to mounting worries about the impact on fuel demand of a widespread resurgence in coronavirus infections, as well as some concern about the likely return of exports from Libya.   Brent is heading for a drop of nearly 3% this week with U.S. crude on track for a decline of around 2%. Both benchmarks are also heading for a monthly decline, which would be the first for Brent in six months.   "The outlook for oil demand remains challenging as prospects of new mobility restrictions continue to rise," ANZ Research said in a note.   In the United States, which has the highest death toll from the coronavirus pandemic and is the world's biggest oil consumer, unemployment claims unexpectedly rose last week suggesting an economic recovery is flailing and pushing down fuel demand.   U.S. fuel demand remains in the doldrums as the pandemic constrains travel. The four-week average of gasoline demand ...

Stimulus Bill Before Election Day? Unlikely, Wall Street Says

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Wall Street analysts warn that the death of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg—and the ensuing battle over her successor—will engulf Washington and further decrease the likelihood of another fiscal stimulus bill to help the economy recover from the coronavirus recession.   With President Trump pledging to announce his Supreme Court nominee by Saturday, the upcoming debate will “formally eliminate whatever chance may have still existed for pre-election fiscal stimulus,” says Adam Crisafulli, founder of Vital Knowledge.   Stefanie Miller, managing director of FiscalNote Markets, agrees that the battle over the Supreme Court vacancy will be the “death knell for COVID-19 relief prior to the elections,” as Republicans seek to jam through a nominee and Democrats take “dramatic actions” to impede the process.   Economists at Wells Fargo Securities put the chances of another stimulus bill before the election at just 25%, saying that the prospects for an agreeme...

Dow Falls 500 Points Amid Resurgence In Coronavirus Cases

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The market fell sharply on Monday, extending its three-week losing streak as stocks took a hit from an uptick in new coronavirus cases, declining tech shares and deadlocked stimulus talks in Congress. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 1.9%, around 500 points, on Monday, while the S&P 500 fell 1.2% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.1%.   Stocks pared back some losses in the final hour of trading, but the S&P 500 posted its first four-day losing streak since February.   Market sentiment took a hit after both the U.S. and Europe saw a resurgence in coronavirus cases over the weekend: The U.K. is reportedly considering another lockdown, while countries like France and Spain have seen an alarming rise in new infections.   Fears that a second wave of coronavirus could lead to further government restrictions and lockdowns caused shares of companies that would benefit from a reopening of the economy—including airlines, cruise operators ...

Pelosi Doubles Down On $2.2 Trillion Stimulus Compromise: ‘It’s Hard To See How We Can Go Any Lower’

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House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) on Thursday doubled down on her insistence on a comprehensive stimulus package worth at least $2.2 trillion, telling reporters that “it’s hard to see how we can go any lower.”   Her comments came the day after her first conversation with Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, who has been leading stimulus negotiations on behalf of the White House, in more than two weeks, the Washington Post reported.   President Trump also jumped back into the stimulus fray on Wednesday, unexpectedly and publicly pushing Republicans to accept a more expensive bill—including another round of stimulus checks—because he “want[s] to see people get money,” he said at a press briefing.     That would be a major reversal for the Senate GOP, which has spent the last six months insisting on a smaller, targeted package worth no more than $1 trillion, which Senate Majority Whip John Thune has said was already too pricey for some Republicans. ...

New Record Highs Again By End Of 2020

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Despite the recent market sell-off, rising optimism about a coronavirus vaccine and progress with reopening the economy should propel stocks back to record highs before the end of the year, according to a recent note from Goldman Sachs.   Goldman raised its year-end target for the S&P 500 to 3,600, implying a 6% upside from Monday’s close of around 3,383.   “ Despite the sharp sell-off in the past week, we remain optimistic about the path of the U.S. equity market in coming months,” David Kostin, Goldman’s head of U.S. equity strategy, said in a note on Monday.   The S&P 500 is now attempting to rebound from its first two-week losing streak since May, which was sparked by a sharp sell-off in high-flying technology stocks that pushed the Nasdaq Composite into correction territory, falling 10% in just three days of trading.   Goldman called the recent sell-off a “warp speed correction,” noting that reasons for optimism—mainly progress on a coron...